A day full of tricky handcaps and non runners, but plenty of value to be had as well I think.
CHESTER: The 2.35 is the first race that represents some value to me, with Van Ellis. He ran a cracker at Epsom last week from a difficult draw, and is a lot less exposed than most in this contest. He is trained by an in form in the shape of Mark Johnston, and must go very close if handling the tight bends of Chester.
Also, I like the look of Stand To Reason in the 3.10, who got turned over by a short head here last time, and with the conditions in the state they are, he should justify favouritism as a horse on the improve against more exposed types.
DONCASTER: Grey Mirage (2.05), is a horse that has been put in many a notebook after an impressive success at Sandown on heavy ground under Silvestre De Sousa, today he has Will Buick on, who is riding out of his skin at the moment, and must be very close to staying unbeaten for the season.
I like the chances of Kingscroft in the 3.45, who was back to form with a good second at Catterick last week and looks an interesting contender. He did all of his winning last year in June and July, recording 7 wins, most with juice in the ground, and most go well in a trappy contest.
HEXHAM: I think one of the most eye-catching runners of the day is The Rodeo Clown in the opener at 1.50. He has been winning point to point, and is back in an ordinary novice hurdle, in which he will handle the bad ground very well, and is a banker.
I have a rule about point to point winners in Hexham bumpers, and the qualifier is Castlelawn in the 5.15. He won a deep ground point and is trained by Lucinda Russell, who won this last year and has had a fair few triumph on rules debut in bumpers after point to point wins, and I think he can be another under a good amateur rider too.
NEWCASTLE: Newcastle go tonight for 7 races with a stack of non runners. Still, there has to be winners in every race and I like the look of Nezami in the 7.15 and Dreaming Of Rubies in the 9.15. Nezami is ridden by a conditional I am following closely in Ned Curtis and has been running well on varying ground recently. The issue is he hasn't won since 2008, but has a good each way chance.
Dreaming Of Rubies is a horse on my NagMe alert system to watch after her great first run in handicap company at York, where she led from the start and got run down close home in better company than today. She is also ridden by Tom Eaves, an underrated tactician, especially from the front and under similar tactics in this lower company, should win if handling the ground. Gowanharry would be the danger as he certainly handles the ground.
NEWMARKET: Pearl Ice is the main selection here in the 2.55 for obvious reasons. He was desperately unlucky at Thirsk two starts ago before winning comfortably at Ripon only 3 days ago, but his trainer has stated he would prefer a double penalty to make sure of a run in the Wokingham handicap at Royal Ascot, as he is ante post favourite. I think he will win. Little Rocky is the other selection in the 3.30. He loves the deep ground on offer at Newmarket on the July course this afternoon, and ran creditably into 3rd last time at Doncaster. He is a good each way bet if 3 places stay.
WINDSOR: Windsor tonight host 7 races in front of a typically good crowd. I like Efistorm in the 7.00. He is 11 now, but likes Windsor, winning here two starts back, and Hayley Turner aboard is another positive. He's fine on soft going as well and I think it's hard to knock him, so should probably win. Welsh Inlet in the 9.00 is the other selection. He won at Brighton on soft two starts ago, and has Richard Hughes aboard, which is rare for that yard, only 1-4 in the last 5 seasons for John Bridger. Each way looks the way to play it for him.
WORCESTER: I like Valento in the 2.45 to make a successful transition to chasing after a winning comeback from a big absence at Kempton. He was good that day and with the assistance of Jason Maguire, against some frustrating sorts, he would be a small win play.
Midnight Tuesday is the other one of interest in the 5.00. He gets on well with Tom Bellamy, and won here last time, with the impression there is at least one more win in him at this stage. Again, he is against some very temperamental rivals such as Warne's Way and William Hogarth. He must go very, very close in this event.
That's it, good luck and enjoy the action
Will
or @willbowler2k12
ADVISED: 2pts E/W Van Ellis 2.35 Chester
2pts WIN Stand To Reason 3.10 Chester
2pts WIN Grey Mirage 2.05 Doncaster
2pts E/W Kingscroft 3.45 Doncaster
3pts WIN The Rodeo Clown 1.50 Hexham
1pt WIN Castlelawn 5.15 Hexham
0.5pt E/W Nezami 7.15 Newcastle
2pts WIN Dreaming Of Rubies 9.15 Newcastle
4pts WIN Pearl Ice 2.55 Newmarket
1pt E/W Little Rocky 3.30 Newmarket
3pts WIN Efistorm 7.00 Windsor
1pt E/W Welsh Inlet 9.00 Windsor
1pt WIN Valento 2.45 Worcester
3pts WIN Midnight Tuesday 5.00 Worcester
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