Friday 30 November 2012

Hennessy Gold Cup Preview

The 2012 running of the Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury is as ever, classy but very competitive. With so many different angles, I am going to try and answer the questions that matter for this particular contest.

Can a former winner do it again?: It is always very tough for horses to come back and win big field handicaps such as this again, with only Denman in recent times being able to do it. We have two former winners this time, Carruthers and Diamond Harry. The former, last years victor, has been out of form, but does perform best at this time of year and also here at Newbury, he could run into a place. Diamond Harry has been in decline since his victory in this contest in 2010 off a 13lb higher mark. 

What about the RSA Chase form?: Bobs Worth is a worthy favourite for this race after his win in the RSA at the Cheltenham Festival in March. You have to have class to win this, Denman, Madison Du Berlais, One Man, Teeton Mill, Arkle etc. Bobs Worth is about the only one you could see competing to a good standard in the Gold Cup in March. He is also unbeaten going left handed and the ground is not an issue. First Lieutenant got beaten two and a half lengths on level weights in the RSA, and this time gets a pound from that rival. He ran really well at Down Royal, but I think he will struggle to turn that form around.

Can Paul Nicholls win it?: The enigmatic Tidal Bay is the chief hope from Ditcheat, and despite top weight, seems to be in great form with himself of late. He does however have to give 6lbs to Bobs Worth, who is four years his junior. Harry The Viking isn't without a chance as he is on a flat track which suits him, and he will be staying on when others are tiring. 

What about the other well fancied runners?: Hold On Julio ran a blinder at Cheltenham, and I think the style of the race; a strong pace so he can weave his passage through runners in the final circuit, will suit him. The Package was an impressive winner of the Badger Ales Trophy lt time, and will be trying to score under a Timmy Murphy special, creeping from the back to be produced between the last two. He could figure but this mark may be a bit high. Frisco Depot for me has a big chance. He was quite keen at Ascot last time, but was tanking when falling after becoming a bit unsighted at three out. With a low weight (10st 1), he must be involved if he completes. Alfie Spinner is one I like for The Welsh National, but I think he may struggle tomorrow. Magnanimity had his heart broken in the 2011 RSA Chase, and since then has been disappointing. 

What about lively outsiders?: It is great to see an Irish National winner running in the shape of Lion Na Bearnai, but he is very high in the weights now, the same as Roberto Goldback. I think both Teaforthree, the winner of the four mile chase at the Cheltenham Festival and the mount of Tony McCoy, and Fruity O'Rooney, who improved a lot last year with a close second at the Festival the highlight, have good each way shouts. They both shaped well up to a point at the Open Meeting last time in their respective races before fading. Saint Are is interesting only because Dougie Costello has chosen to ride him as opposed to Countrywide Flame at Newcastle. Ikorodu Road could run a monster race at a big price as he has great form here.

ADVISED: 2pts WIN Bobs Worth,
              2pts E/W Frisco Depot
              1pt E/W Teaforthree + Fruity O'Rooney

Good Luck
Will

Any feedback? Then either fill in the comments box below or tweet me @willbowler2k12
 

Monday 26 November 2012

Weekend Review 23/11-25/11

In the second of our review pieces, we focus on the action on Friday and Saturday from Ascot and Haydock, with the Ascot hurdle and Betfair Chase the big races on the Saturday at those courses.
Both of those venues started their meetings on Friday with six good class races at each.
We will start our look back at Ascot on Friday, where we saw some nice prospects. Many Clouds created a good impression in winning the opening two and a half mile novice hurdle, confirming the form of his second to Gevrey Chambertin, who we will come to later, at Aintree. Restless Harry again appeared as if he didn't enjoy chasing when only fourth behind Minella Class, but it was the faller Shuil Royale who was running a belter when coming down at the last that caught my eye, and is sure to be winning sooner rather than later. Again Lordofthehouse showed his quirks and could only finish fourth behind Close Touch, owned by the Queen, who won under a penalty for Geraghty and Henderson. They teamed up again with Petit Robin, the former high class chaser, who has had a multitude of injuries, winning the finale, a handicap hurdle over two miles.
Up at Haydock, conditions were very testing. It was nice to see Kumbeshwar win again after a heavy fall at Kempton on his previous start, and for Wayne Hutchinson, a very good and under-used rider. Poungach won his first chase in game style, before Clondaw Kaempfer showed a nice turn of foot to score for McCain and Maguire, with the second Lienosus again shaping with lots of promise, and this former prolific pointer is sure to do well in the remainder of the season. I mentioned Gevrey Chambertin earlier, and he won a titanic battle with Corrin Wood all the way up the home straight in the two mile four novice hurdle, and both horses are worth watching when conditions are attritional.
To Saturday, and Ascot first again. The conditions were very wet and the ground deep, with some really not handling it at all. Lord Tomnoddy won well in the Novices Handicap Chase under a super cool Nick Scholfield, a class ride. If he can stay fit, then he could be one to follow in three mile handicap chases. Tweedledrum was given a corking ride by young Ben Poste, and it was great to see smaller connections with a Saturday winner at such a big track. The Amlin 1965 Chase has had some really good winners in the past, and a high class field lined up here, with Captain Chris proving victorious for Richard Johnson. It was a good performance by this former Arkle winner, and the King George will be next on his agenda. Finian's Rainbow detested conditions and this run can be forgotten. Oscar Whisky won easily in the Ascot Hurdle (Coral Hurdle), but where do you go with him? He could do with the Ryanair Hurdle, as two and a half miles is his best trip. William's Wishes was an impressive winner of the two mile handicap chase, returning after a big break but winning with the minimum of fuss, and the second Champion Court ran well in his prep run for the King George.
As for Haydock where I was, a competitive seven race card to look at. Balder Succes won readily in the opener, a horse that loves soft ground. Drama in the two and a half mile handicap hurdle as Double Ross looked very likely to make all until knocking the last down and checking his momentum, and eventually finishing fourth, as Yesyoucan scored from the fast finishing Black Thunder, a big eye-catcher, together with the third Poole Master, who's end of season target may be the Coral Cup. Ballyben caused a shock in the bumper, before Quartz De Thaix won off top weight in the three mile handicap chase. Dashing George pulled far too hard in that race and would have figured if he settled. Trustan Times was another top weight winner, this time in the Fixed Brush hurdle, with a couple of eye-catchers in behind. Sunnyhillboy ran very well, and is going to try and get himself handicapped for another go at the National in April. The other is Katkeau, who made a terrible blunder three out when still going well and is sure to find a race to win in the next few weeks.

Then for the big race, The Betfair Chase, and as the four time victor Kauto Star led the parade, it was a young horse from the same yard Silviniaco Conti who made all with a great round of jumping to score. Long Run ran well but again his jumping cost him dear, but I think Kempton is the time to get him in the King George. The Giant Bolster also ran well in third, holding Weird Al for that position by a short head. The three and a half mile handicap chase was a gruelling affair won by Monsieur Cadou under a great ride by Paddy Brennan, with Dusky Bob an eye-catcher back in fourth.
Sunday gave us just Navan in Ireland, but the hurdles debut of one of the most talked about horses on that side of the Irish Sea, and that horse is Don Cossack. He was impressive, jumping well and winning easily under Davy Russell. He stands at seventeen hands high, and whatever he does now will be a stepping stone for when he goes chasing next season.

I hope you have enjoyed this look back to the weekends' action, and if you have any feedback, either fill in the box below or tweet me @willbowler2k12

Will

Thursday 22 November 2012

Betfair Chase Role Of Honour + Preview

Saturday's Betfair Chase has always provided a top quality, early season field of Gold Cup hopefuls and leading protaganists running against each other on the Lancashire turf.
The first running of the Betfair, or Lancashire Chase as it was registered in 2005, was won by the rising star Kingscliff for Robert Walford and the Alners, narrowly beating Beef Or Salmon under Paul Carberry, with the odds on favourite Kicking King, a way back in third.
He came back in 2006 to try and defend his crown, but was beaten over 100 lengths in last, as the then 'young pretender' Kauto Star routed the top class field by 17 lengths pushed out by Ruby Walsh. Little did we know that this was only the start of his many Grade 1 successes.
2007 came around, and in monsoon like conditions, his main market rival My Way De Solzen couldn't cope, but it was the improving Exotic Dancer who gave Kauto and stand in Sam Thomas a real race, getting within half a length under Barry Geraghty, a result that would become a very familiar association with this lovable bridesmaid, who got his day in the sun by winning the Lexus Chase in December 2008.
They were both back again in 2008, but this time, things didn't go to plan. Kauto Star was a 2/5 market leader in the hands of Sam Thomas going for his third Betfair, and with only five rivals, surely he would prevail, but from quite a way out, as Tamarinbleu got a very good tactical ride by Tom O'Brien at the front, he really turned the screw and got the others in trouble. Kauto was under pressure from three out, and as he came to join Tamarinbleu at the last, he stumbled on landing and unseated a helpless Thomas. The crowd gasped with horror as their horse was left to wander home riderless, with a brutal battle going on in front of him, won by the late run of Snoopy Loopy under Seamus Durack, who was never to win another race, showing how tough a renewal this was.
2009 provided one the classic jumps racing finishes of recent times as Kauto Star locked horns with the Ryanair winner Imperial Commander in a titanic rain swept battle up the Haydock straight, flashing past together. Kauto got the verdict by a nostril, but Imperial Commander came back to his favoured Cheltenham to dethrone Kauto in the Gold Cup in the following March.
In 2010, Kauto Star was sent to Northern Ireland to contest the JN Wine Champion Chase at Down Royal, therefore leaving gthe door open for Imperial Commander to gain a deserved win in this race after his defeat by a nose the year previous, scoring very comfortably from the enigmatic Tidal Bay a length and a quarter back in second.
But, the Betfair Chase that will live long in the memory for years to come will definitely be the 2011 running, a race that I am proud to say I was there for. I, amongst many other delirious racing fans, watched a Rocky style comeback from Kauto Star, to win his fourth Betfair chase aged eleven, beating his challenger Long Run by eight lengths, with a flawless display of jumping and galloping. The atmosphere was electric with the amount of people cheering him home, even if they hadn't backed Kauto, they were screaming. It was astounding. Then the crowd rushed to the paddock when he came back in to a rapturous reception, Paul Nicholls the conductor, three cheers reverberated around Haydock as people stood and admired, taking pictures to make sure they would never forget it. Even now when I see it again, the hairs on the back of my neck stand up, god knows what it must have been like at Kempton!

This year though, Kauto is only at Haydock to parade after his retirement was announced a few weeks ago. Long Run remains in the small, but very good field of six. He ran behind Kauto Star twice in the Betfair and the King George, but was then only third in the Gold Cup, with his sketchy jumping in all three of those partly to blame for the defeats. If he sorts the jumping out, he will be tough to beat. Silviniaco Conti is this years young buck on the scene, and after an easy Charlie Hall Chase win last time at Wetherby, he is a fascinating contender bidding to give Paul Nicholls another win in this race. The Giant Bolster finished ahead of Long Run in the Gold Cup, but may be a little vulnerable away from there. Weird Al is very good fresh and is a big danger for me with the Donald McCain string flying. Wayward Prince and Cannington Brook have work to do, but the latter could outrun his odds if it came up bottomless.

I hope you have enjoyed reminiscing and looking forward to this great race on Saturday, I can't wait!!

Will

Any feedback? Either fill in the box below or tweet me @willbowler2k12

Tuesday 20 November 2012

Jumps Weekend Review 16th-18th November

This is the first of a series of weekend reviews I am going to do throughout the jumps season where possible.
We start on Friday with the first day of the Cheltenham Open Meeting, and what a start with the smooth success of Dynaste on chasing debut. It wasn't all plain sailing, as Tom Scudamore had to change his plan of going up the inside of Fingal Bay coming to two out, but for just hand riding sprinted up the hill to win well. If there is a race at the Festival that will best suit him, I would say it was the Jewson as opposed to the RSA. I say that because over three miles around Cheltenham he isn't guaranteed to stay, but he will be fine at Kempton in the Feltham as it is an easier three miles. Fingal Bay was a shade disappointing, and appeared one paced up the hill, the jury is out when it comes to him for the time being.
Dodging Bullets was, in his own way, quite impressive in the Opus Energy Novice Hurdle, after having to make his own running, and keeping on really well up the hill to score by a length and a half. River Maigue ran really well, justifying the hope of his trainer Nicky Henderson, who thinks he can be a 'top novice this season'. A few people think that Court Minstrel would have won if he had a clear run, but I don't think he would. No doubt he would have been closer, but I think Dodging Bullets would have gone again if he was tackled. He would be better suited by an end to end gallop which he didn't get here, and the Festival is a viable long term target. Duke Of Navan ran a blinder too, and is a horse that I really like for the future, probably chasing.It would be great for trainer Nicky Richards to have a nice horse to go to war with down the south like Noble Alan.
The cross country provided another win for Uncle Junior, given a great ride by young Patrick Mullins. I'm sure he'll be back for the big one in March.
Ending the card was the gallant grey Swing Bill who won again under Mikey Ennis, repeating his win in the same race twelve months previous under Tom Bellamy, who has since gone on to more success, impressing many judges. Hopefully Mikey Ennis will be a name we hear plenty more of this season.

Newcastle also raced on Friday, and just one horse to mention here, and that's Aland Islands trained by Tim Vaughan, who made a successful chase debut under Aidan Coleman. His trainer has always thought very highly of him, and he certainly hasn't been over-raced. He will be one we hear plenty more of in the coming months.

Saturday was Paddy Power Gold Cup day at Cheltenham, plus Uttoxeter, where I was heading, and Wetherby. At Cheltenham, Far West again impressed in the opener, beating a horse I'd seen win on his British debut Vasco Du Ronceray. Our Father was yet another David Pipe inmate to impress with his jumping on chase debut, hacking up in the three mile novice chase by twenty lengths. He spent the summer at Timmy Murphy's, and it certainly seemed to help. A super ride by Jamie Moore on Monbeg Dude helped secure the first running of the Henrietta Knight handicap chase, narrowly defeating Bradley, who has Grand National written all over him, he jumps, he stays, and he loves good ground.
To the big one, the Paddy Power Gold Cup, and it was Al Ferof who reigned victorious with a great ride by Ruby Walsh, and proved to the doubters, including myself, that he does stay and isn't badly handicapped. Walkon ran a belter, but it is yet to be seen whether that was only because he was fresh. Grand Crus was flat, and is having a breathing operation, again, the jury is out.
It was also great to see Cross Kennon run so well to in the Listed handicap hurdle, for a under-rated trainer Jennie Candlish.
As for Uttoxeter, I was a little suprised to see so many big name trainers such as Donald McCain, Charlie Longsden, Sue Smith, David O'Meara, Lucinda Russell, but it was Caroline Bailey who shone, with another great piece of placing to get Noble Legend to score for the fourth time in a row, and doesn't he half jump! Cape York was the one beaten horse to take out of the day, spooky in the paddock and green in the race, but he kept on well for a creditable third in the closing bumper behind a nice McCain winner, and will certainly improve once he grows up a bit.
As for Wetherby, just a beaten horse to watch, Electric Tiger, who finished third in the two and a half mile novice hurdle. He needs one more run before he recieves his opening mark and will be of big interest to me if getting a mark around 100. 

Sunday was the final day of Cheltenham, plus top class action at Punchestown, and Fontwell's big day with the Southern National the feature. With no Sprinter Sacre or Darlan due to the soft ground, some would have said it was a much weaker card than when the final declarations came out on Friday. Captain Conan provided a jumping masterclass to win the opener, from Sire De Grugy in second, who ran really well also for Jamie Moore. Captain Conan has always looked a chaser and hopefully he gets to the Festival in one piece, because if he does, he will be one to beat. Wishfull Thinking got a confidence building win if anything in the Shloer Chase, followed by a deserved big race success for Olofi, who has had his fair share of hard luck in recent times in similar big field handicaps. Coneygree was a nice winner for Mark Bradstock and Mattie Batchelor in the novice hurdle, and is a half brother to stable star Carruthers, and bred by the late great Lord Oaksey.
As for Punchestown, Hurricane Fly ran out a potentially fortunate winner of the Morgiana hurdle, after the luckless fall of Go Native at the last when holding every chance. It'll be fascinating to see where they both go from here, but it wouldn't suprise me if Go Native ended up having the better season. And as for a jockey in Ireland to watch, Jane Mangan again showed her skills with Beef To The Heels winning on the same card, and is improving with every ride.

I hope you have enjoyed my look back at the weekends action. If you have any comments or feedback, either fill in the box below, or tweet me @willbowler2k12

Will

Friday 16 November 2012

Paddy Power Gold Cup 2012 Preview

The Paddy Power Gold Cup is the first major handicap of the jumps season proper, and what a roll of honour it has, mainly Martin Pipe appeared down the 'trainer' column with the likes of Shooting Light and Cyfor Malta. In recent years, Imperial Commander won this in 2008, and Long Run got beaten by Little Josh in 2010, before the Pipe dynasty continued last year with Great Endeavour scoring easily.

Could it be another Pipe winner?: I think it could be certainly, Grand Crus is starting to look well handicapped on his hurdles mark of 167, he runs on Saturday off 157, after being dropped a few pounds for a lacklustre run in the RSA Chase, which looks to have excuses (scoped dirty afterwards). The only concern would be that historically the RSA takes so much out of horses, for example Cooldine and Bostons Angel have both struggled in top company since their wins in that race in recent years. Despite that, he has top course form and should go very close.

Bugger the Cows and Lump on Hunt Ball?: It seems a long time ago since I saw Hunt Ball get beaten in a handicap chase at Plumpton on January 2nd off 102, he now competes off 157! His meteoric rise through the weights last season was highlighted by an easy win at the Festival, carrying 12st, and then a great run at Aintree in the Betfair Bowl, only beaten 3 and a quarter lengths. I would rather have him with me than against, but can he really sustain this improvement?

What about Walkon?: Walkon was a very good novice hurdler, finishing 2nd at the Festival behind Reve De Sivola in 2009. But last season, after an impressive chase debut at Exeter, he was well beaten in all his remaining starts behind the likes of Cue Card, For Non Stop and Bobs Worth. They even tried the Scottish National on his final start where he pulled up. I think he is risky, but can see the argument behind him. Despite the confidence of the trainer, for me,two miles is his best trip and he might find this too difficult.

A Nicky Henderson winner?: Quantitativeeasing was 2nd in this last year, but off an 11lb lower mark, but does go well fresh and will be running on well up the hill. Nadiya De La Vega is the pick of Tony McCoy, but has only won fresh, the shortest time between a win and previous race is 2 months (only 28 days this time). Triolo D'Alene is the mount of Barry Geraghty, but ran his worst race last season here, and is prone to a mistake. Saying all that, he is only 5 and has had time to strengthen and mature since we last saw him.

The Paul Nicholls runners?: The old boy Poquelin is a standing dish in these type of races at Cheltenham, and will run his heart out without quite being good enough. Al Ferof is an interesting runner who is attracting plenty of money in the ante post markets. He was blisteringly good here on reappearance last season, but was eventually a little disappointing in the top class Festival races. He has won a point to point over 3 miles, but he has to give weight to Grand Crus and Hunt Ball, and that is a significant worry for me. Aerial was fourth in this last year and has improved since, but needs to find more to better last years result.

Any others?: I hope that Calgary Bay runs well on the day of the first running of the Henrietta Knight handicap chase earlier in the card, but is very high in the handicap. The Disengager improved a lot through the Summer, but this is an entirely different ball game. Kingsmere was bang there when falling here in a novice chase last time, and off exactly 10st and Sam Twiston Davies aboard, could go well. Divers also has a chance if they go off fast (almost a given), as Timmy Murphy will be able to work his magic, and his yard are in unusually good form for this time of year. You probably think I'm mad, but I could see Gilbarry going well too, despite being 10lb out the handicap, he really caught my eye last time and I could see him outrunning his 66/1 price.

In Summary: An on song Grand Crus will be very hard to beat, with the yard having such a good record in the race and potentially looking well handicapped too. Hunt Ball can't be discounted for eccentric owner Anthony Knott either, but can he keep getting better? A few to look at each way are Divers, Kingsmere and Gilbarry at the bottom of the weights.

Hope you have found this useful, and enjoy the race and the rest of the racing on Saturday.
Will

Any feedback, tweet me @willbowler2k12, or fill in the comments box below

Sunday 11 November 2012

11/11/12 selections

On a Sunday where we have some big names coming back at Navan, such as Voler La Vedette and Flemenstar, plus nice cards at Ffos Las and Market Rasen. Hopefully I can find some winners, with further analysis on the matching soundcloud.

2pts WIN:
Alpine Breeze 2.15 Market Rasen
Chac Du Cadran 2.45 Market Rasen
Qualviro 3.40 Ffos Las
Artisan 3.50 Market Rasen

1pt Reverse F/C:
Flemenstar and Fooldubh 2.50 Navan

1pt E/W:
Corso Palladio 3.05 Ffos Las

Good Luck
Will

soundcloud.com/will-bowler-racing
@willbowler2k12

Saturday 10 November 2012

10/11/12 selections

A day full of top class, big field action from Doncaster on the last day of the flat turf season, and jumping from Wincanton, Sandown and Kelso. Further analysis on the matching soundcloud.

2pts WIN:
Milano Magic 1.30 Kelso
Zarkandar 2.50 Wincanton

2pts E/W:
Vagrant Emperor 12.45 Sandown
Sirius Prospect 3.10 Doncaster
Irish Heartbeat 3.45 Doncaster

1pt E/W:
Songcraft 2.35 Doncaster

Good Luck
Will

soundcloud.com/will-bowler-racing
@willbowler2k12

Friday 9 November 2012

Review of the Flat Turf + Preview of the All Weather season

I write to you with only one day left of the Flat Turf season, and what a year it's been. It's been a year which has resulted in change, with the high profile separation of Frankie Dettori from Godolphin, one of very few names that non-racing people find synonymous with not just Flat racing, but the whole of British racing. Next season, he will ride freelance and quite early on, we will see whether he is capable of going for a jockeys title bid again.
In terms of the horses themselves, only one horse has shone brightest of all. Do I really need to say his name? I will, Frankel, who again swept all before him in 2012, taking the challenge of ten furlongs at York and heavy ground at Ascot in his last race, in his very long stride. I think all the different ways of describing his achievments have been taken, but this equine superstar has lit up the flat game over the last three seasons, with his destructive burst of speed. He's become an icon, a focal point, especially to people lucky enough to have watched him on course. I am lucky enough to say I saw him twice this season, will cherish these memories for a long while to come.

Camelot looked at one stage like he could compete with Frankel, with the Triple Crown still a possibility when he went to Doncaster, but after a hard race in defeat on Town Moor, he ran flat in the Arc. Hopefully that doesn't ruin him and he can carry on showing his true class in 2013.

As for sprinters, there was so much hype about Black Caviar appearing at Ascot. In a race full of drama in which she only just scrambled home, with a fellow Aussie mare Ortensia overshadowing her by scoring in both the Audi Stakes at Goodwood and Nunthorpe at York. There isn't a stand out though in the homegrown sprinters, so 2013 could be a interesting year.
The stayers were a close knit bunch of five or six horses, Colour Vision, Saddlers Rock, Opinion Poll, Aiken and Rite Of Passage, who probably gave Dermot Weld his greatest training performance when scoring on Champions Day under Pat Smullen. I think Mount Athos may challenge those next season after a luckless effort in the Melbourne Cup.
Back to jockeys, Richard Hughes has finally and deservedly got his name on the Flat racing roll of honour. In a season where he had to play catch up after his ridiculous ban in India over the winter, he blitzed his rivals with his exploits, mainly at Windsor on Monday evenings, where if a Hannon two year old didn't win, you'd be very suprised, and it was fitting that only a few weeks ago, 'Hughesy' completed a seven timer, from eight rides at the track that for so long, has given him so many winners. With the prospect of Classic bound horses such as Olympic Glory and Toronado to come in 2013, plus the canny eye of Richard Hannon looking over another set of two year olds, you wouldn't bet against him doing it again.

But as they say, the show must go on, and with the All Weather, for flat fans, it never stops! I am a fan of the All weather, and that has grown over recent years as my knowledge has grown. Southwell, which is my nearest artificial track, is for me anyway, the easiest to work out as it is good for certain sires and course specialists, the famous La Estrella being the most high profile, now unbeaten in a world record 13 starts on the Fibresand.

I am going to list '5 to watch' this winter, one jockey, one trainer, a sire and a couple of horses.

1) David Simmonsen (Jockey) - I have been impressed this season with David's judge of pace, and I think he is only getting better. He has ridden six all weather winners so far, and all at Wolverhampton. He rides mainly for Mick Easterby, who is having a good spell at Wolverhampton lately. He is improving all the time and should stay among the winners over the winter months if he stays fit.

2) Jason Ward (Trainer) - Jason is a trainer who trains in Middleham, and has had good success with his select string at Southwell, and I think he can do so again. He has had a couple of winners at Wolverhampton too, but with horses such as stable star Sweetnessandlight using Southwell as a step to better things, I'm sure they'll be more this winter.

3) Dubawi (Sire) - This sire applies only for Southwell really, and the stats of 25% on the Fibresand, compares to a rate of between 10 and 15% on turf. To add to that, any US bred horses also have an advantage at Southwell, as most the US dirt tracks are Fibresand.

4) Hoonose (Horse) - Hoonose is trained by Pat Eddery. I've followed him this season in very low grade races, and I think that Southwell is the venue for him. Was a shade unlucky not to be closer at Nottingham last time. Another to consider only at Southwell is Greatest Dancer (J Osborne).

5) If So (Horse) - Trained by James Fanshawe, If So is an improving three year old who is unexposed, only having 2 starts on the synthetic surfaces to date. He runs off a mark of 64 and I think he can get into the eighties before the return of the turf next March.

Hope you have enjoyed this and if you have any feedback, feel free to fill in the comments box below, or tweet me @willbowler2k12.

Thanks for reading
Will

Tuesday 6 November 2012

06/11/12 selections

It's Haldon Gold Cup day, and despite there being no actual selections from Exeter, I have previewed the card on the matching soundcloud.

2pts WIN:
Oscars Business 1.25 Punchestown
Benartic 3.10 Southwell
Catalyze 4.10 Southwell

2pts E/W:
Passion Planet 6.30 Wolverhampton

1pt E/W:
Mickstathetricksta 5.00 Wolverhampton

Good Luck
Will

To listen, go to soundcloud.com/will-bowler-racing

Or tweet me @willbowler2k12

Monday 5 November 2012

05/11/12 selections

Kempton, Plumpton and Wolverhampton are the meetings on this Monday. Further analysis and a look back to yesterday on the matching soundcloud.

2pts WIN:
Dromore Hill 2.25 Plumpton
High Time Too 3.20 Wolverhampton
Loch Ba 3.45 Kempton

2pts E/W:
Hamoody 4.55 Wolverhampton

1pt E/W:
Castlemorris King 12.50 Plumpton

Good Luck
Will

To listen, go to soundcloud.com/will-bowler-racing

Or tweet me @willbowler2k12

Sunday 4 November 2012

04/11/12 selections

A good quality Sunday of jumps racing, with the last of the Irish flat turf season at Leopardstown. Further analysis on the matching soundcloud.

2pts WIN:
Rupert Bear 1.00 Carlisle
Some Lad 3.45 Carlisle
Be Bop Boru 4.00 Huntingdon

2pts E/W:
Berties Dream 2.15 Cork
Albert Bridge 4.05 Leopardstown

1pt E/W:
Gleann Na Ndochais 1.30 Carlisle

Good luck
Will

Or tweet me @willbowler2k12

Saturday 3 November 2012

03/11/12 selections

A cracking day of predominantly jumps racing, with Newmarket and the Breeders Cup keeping the flat fans entertained. Further analysis on the matching soundcloud.

2pts WIN:
Taquin Du Seuil 2.00 Ascot
Baby Shine 2.15 Wetherby

2pts E/W:
Ted Spread 2.35 Ascot

1pt E/W:
The Druids Nephew 1.25 Ascot
Joncol 2.25 Down Royal
Masked Dance 4.10 Newmarket

Good luck and enjoy the racing.
Will

Or tweet me @willbowler2k12

Friday 2 November 2012

02/11/12 selections

A busy Friday of racing on both jumps and flat. Further analysis on the matching soundcloud.

2pts WIN:
Blue Zealot 6.45 Wolverhampton

2pts E/W:
Rio's Rosanna 2.10 Newmarket
Roi De Garde 3.10 Wetherby
Cool Operator 3.30 Uttoxeter
Space War 7.45 Wolverhampton

1pt E/W:
One For Luck 3.45 Wetherby
Rhossili Bay 6.15 Wolverhampton

Good Luck
Will

Or @willbowler2k12 on Twitter