Friday 25 May 2012

My Afternoon thoughts for 26/05/12

Saturday brings an all flat racing Saturday for the first time for a long time, with top class fare from York, Goodwood, Haydock and The Curragh, plus lesser meetings from Chester in the afternoon, with Newbury and Lingfield going in the evening which I'll do a separate piece for on the day.
We start at Goodwood, and with two good Listed prizes, is sure to get a big crowd in the sunshine on the Sussex downs. I like Grumeti strongly in the 3.20, a very good novice hurdler last season for Alan King, and reverted to the Flat last time out at Ascot, where he saw off Local Hero, and with Ryan Moore aboard here, off a revised mark of 89, could easily take advantage.
I'll also include Kimberella in the maiden at 3.55, who caught the eye last time in a decent Newmarket maiden on Guineas weekend which has thrown up many winners in the past, and with 7 furlongs rather than 5, and experience, would be a prime contender for a small win play.
Next is Haydock, and although I like Montaser in the opener, he won't be a selection, but Farlow (4.40) certainly will. I expressed him as a serious horse to follow before winning at Donny last time and I think 7 furlongs will bring even more improvement. We may get a better price here too as the Varian horse may go off very short. He is an each way cert. The other selection is one that leaps out the page, Anderiego in the 4.05. David O'Meara has a reputation of revitalising horses that come to him, and this one has winning form in Ireland, and shaped with loads of promise on British debut before fading in the final furlong, and on a sounder surface should hold a chance, just get an early price because I think he'll be well backed.
At York, anyone reading to here will think I'm absolutely loopy by tipping Calico Cat each way in the LLP Grand Cup (3.10). He is unexposed, ran a cracker at Chester on debut and followed up with a game win in a maiden at Thirsk. The main reason is value, Cavalryman has never won in Britain from 8 attempts so is a lay for me, and all the rest are out of form, bar Gulf Of Naples, who's had hard races recently so at big odds, Calico Cat each way would be a small play.
The best play there though is Billyrayvalentine of George Bakers' in the 4.50 with Frankie aboard. He was progressive last season and Mr Baker holds him in high regard, has plenty of dash and is drawn well too, not many negatives so would be a very confident each way tip.
Just one at the Curragh, which is Chicago in the 4.50 of Aidan O'Brien's. Devastating last time on a sound surface and should repeat again here.
Chester also go tomorrow afternoon and sure to be a big crowd on the Roodee. A trappy card where I like Iulus in the 4.35. He is a horse I've been waiting to run and a small each way play tomorrow would be advised and to watch afterwards through the season. The other would be Mandy Lexi in the opening 2.25 maiden. He has a track short head beating to his name, and if handling different underfoot conditions, should go very close indeed here.
Good Luck
Will

ADVISED:  2pts WIN Grumeti 3.20 GWood
                   2pts E/W Kimberella 3.55 GWood
                   3pts E/W Farlow 4.40 Hdck
                   1pt E/W Anderiego 4.05 Hdck
                   0.5pt E/W Calico Cat 3.10 York
                   2pts E/W Billyrayvalentine 4.50 York
                   5pts WIN Chicago 4.50 Curragh
                  0.5pt E/W Iulus 4.35 Cster
                  3pts WIN Mandy Lexi 2.25 Cster

No comments:

Post a Comment