Thursday, 8 October 2020

2020/21 National Hunt Season - 10 to follow



Published 8th October 2020.


As you can see it's been some time since I pushed the keys on here, but on the eve of the traditional "proper" jumps season curtain-raiser at Chepstow, I thought I'd give you all a few horses to keep an eye on over the coming campaign. As will become apparent quickly on here, I like to find horses across all levels, and enjoy midweek racing just as much as the big races, so we have horses rated from as low as 78 to 150!! There are two horses based across the Irish Sea as well. So, in alphabetical order, let's get into it.


Benevolentdictator (Gary Moore) - Official rating: 106 


This 6yo by Schiaparelli hasn't had a great deal of racing, but has shown signs of promise and in the shape of a horse who is well handicapped off 106. He went on my tracker after his debut in an Ascot bumper when keeping on past beaten horses under tender handling from Josh Moore. He went straight hurdling and again there were glimmers despite the wide margins he was beaten ultimately. We last saw him in January at Plumpton in his first handicap where they crawled along through the first two miles of the journey before quickening the tempo after the ninth hurdle. He got caught flat footed initially and to add insult to injury, made a mistake at the tenth, before running on steadily into fourth. The winner went on to post two very fair efforts in defeat afterwards, and the two directly ahead, the loveable mare Tambura and Fortunate George both won afterwards, so the form has worked out well. The handicapper dropped him for that and I'd like to think he can be very competitive this term off this mark, and given his size, chasing is certainly an option too going forward. It's also worth noting that the yard have had success with the family in the past.


Brandy Pad (Jennie Candlish) - Official rating: 78


If this horse doesn't win at least one race this season, I'll be baffled! He won an Irish PTP before having a very quiet spell in novice hurdles. He went straight chasing and in a novice handicap chase on 7th December 2019, he was backed from 25/1 into 7/2 before pulling up in the straight after travelling menacingly through the contest. Uttoxeter three weeks later wasn't too dissimilar before a small break and a trip to Musselburgh. In a small field, he was backed into favouritism beforehand and looked the likely winner two out despite a display littered with mistakes, before being headed and losing out by a length to Eagle Ridge. He is off 78 now but he strikes me as the sort of horse who could rattle off a sequence of wins as he can still run in 0-100 company for probably at least three wins. He's only a 6yo and if he brushes his jumping up a bit, his season could prove fruitful for all.


Dreamsundermyfeet (Martin Keighley) - No Official rating at time of writing


This lad is very much one for the future in staying handicaps. He has run twice post-lockdown in Uttoxeter in 2m4f maiden hurdles with promise in both styles. He was very rusty in the first of them when held up in rear and coming off the bridle at around halfway before staying on all the way to the line at the one pace into midfield in a seventeen runner field. He returned at the start of October in what I think is an above average maiden hurdles, with the front pair, both smart horses, pulling a long way clear of the remainder. He travelled much sweeter this time and was one of the last off the bridle and was one paced once they quickened but was still fifth of a big field. The fourth was The Triple Pillar who had been beaten narrowly at Warwick the run before so the form has some depth and I envisage this lad winning a staying handicap hurdle, or even a handicap chase before the season is out. Ground shouldn't be an issue either for this unexposed five year old.


Fil D'Ariane (Tom Symonds) - Official rating 115


The first of a couple of Tom Symonds runners on the list. The yard have had a bit more joy in the early stages of the season so far, after the successful link up between Tom and David Dennis, who now is alongside Tom after winding down his own operation in the past few months. I saw this gelding make his British debut at Southwell and was really taken by him physically beforehand, a well built sort who was only going to get better with time. He was beaten by Shantou Vow (a winner since) that day and Aidan Coleman was very complimentary afterwards. Following that run he had a wind operation and two further runs in novice company, despite having a mark after seven runs in France. You would be excused for thinking he was an old horse, but he's just a 5yo and his mark has dropped 5lbs in the space of those three runs and the extended break will have done him good physically. He should be able to find a race or two all being well.


Induno (David Pipe) - Official rating 115

I'm a big fan of this son of Flemensfirth, who runs in the colours of Ronnie Bartlett. He has won half of his four starts and could be a good bit ahead of the handicapper. He was a good second in his opening bumper at Warwick, before brushing aside the now 135 rated Mario De Pail with contempt at Ffos Las, quickening in bad ground, which tends to be a sign of a decent horse. He then went to Sedgefield and won on his hurdles debut beating some fair sorts, before being a well-beaten odds on favourite at the same venue on Boxing Day. There must have been a reason for that, whether it was the trip or something else, but in a recent stable tour, David Pipe inferred he is well thought of and is a "good work horse at home who will probably start off over hurdles". He's worth keeping on side.


Kaproyale (Olly Murphy) - No Official rating (Runs Chepstow 4.25 on Friday 9th October)


Kaproyale is a fine looking grey gelding who will have his second start at Chepstow tomorrow (9/10/20). He is not one to be backing in novice company I doubt, unless you have extra places, but it won't be long until he gets a mark and will hopefully make hay in handicap company. This outfit tend to get the three novice hurdles in pretty quick and this looks the case here too as Kaproyale made his debut on 30th September in a good maiden hurdle at Bangor, where he was given a quiet ride by Adrian Heskin but ultimately not beaten far. A step up in trip looks a plus going forward and I'll be intrigued to see what the handicapper says.


Mack The Man (Evan Williams) - Official rating 131


Mack The Man was certainly a big improver last term, after a reasonably innocuous start to his hurdling career. He started off last season with a cosy win in a 0-115 handicap hurdle at Warwick for which he received a 7lb rise in the handicap before sneaking into the December handicap hurdle at Sandown at the start of December 2019, where he won once again off a featherweight. After a couple of months to freshen up, he was holding a chance when brought down at the last in the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury. Speaking to Isabel Williams, daughter of trainer Evan Williams, Mack The Man is going chasing and will be out in the next few weeks. He strikes me as a sort who will keep improving and the sky is the limit for him.


Montagne D'Argent (David Harry Kelly) - Official rating 109


It is a reasonably rare occurrence for me to include an Irish trained horse in one of these lists that you will not see at one of the big meetings, but this horse really caught my eye last term. I was particularly taken by the way he went through his race before being brought down at Limerick at the very end of 2019, and improved on that to be 2nd at Gowran Park. I expect him to be able to prove pretty competitive off his mark.


Tornado Flyer (Willie Mullins) - Official rating 150


Tornado Flyer was one of the horses from the Cheltenham Festival that caught my eye in the Graded races staying on late in the Marsh Novice Chase. He has a track record of a horse that might just be a touch below the top level over obstacles, being beaten less than ten lengths in three Grade 1s over hurdles and fences after winning a Grade 1 bumper at the Punchestown Festival. It wouldn't be the biggest surprise should this 7yo go and improve and be right in amongst the top dogs come the end of the season. The other element to him is that he potentially can slot in over two miles, two and a half miles and a fast three miles. He could just be the horse that emerges amongst the big boys this winter.


Williams Overture (Tom Symonds) - Official rating 94


This lad is definitely one to stick with for the long-term. He has contested one 'bumper'  and four maiden or novice hurdles, going off at 66/1 or higher on every occasion, but that doesn't tell the full story. He is another horse to transfer from David Dennis to Tom Symonds and is the sort of horse traditionally that Tom has done well with in the past and I envisage he might be able to do some damage off this low mark in staying handicap hurdles and chases. He is a raw, big lump of a horse and I imagine this 5yo son of Mahler would have taken plenty of getting fit for his seasonal and stable debut recently at Uttoxeter and there was enough in that effort to make me think he could be one to keep onside.

Two others to note that just missed the cut were Monkey Harris for Richenda Ford and Ladronne for Tjade Collier's yard. The former will not be out until the New Year and needs soft ground while the latter could be a nice handicap chaser in the North.

Once again a brilliant season awaits us, and despite everything that is going on in this world right now, I'm sure the sport can continue to put smiles on peoples' faces even if they can't be there in person to see the action on the track.

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