Friday, 23 May 2014

24/5/14 Selections across all cards

It's another very busy Saturday of racing coming up and on top of that, there is a monsterous Scoop6 to have a pop at, with £15 million across both the win and bonus funds. I think personally that everyone who knows a bit about racing should just have a go for the sake of a mere £2, and you never know, you might just land the big pot.
In this post, I'll preview those Scoop6 races and give my thoughts about all the other meetings of the day, including the Irish 2000 Guineas at The Curragh.

Beverley:

It is one of Beverley's biggest days of the year with the Two Year Old Trophy taking centre stage at 3.40. In that race, I think Midterm Break might be the one to plump for for David Barron and jockey David Allan. He was beaten narrowly by Roudee on debut, before that horse was second in the Lily Agnes at Chester, and then broke his maiden at Southwell last time on the Fibresand easily.
It'll be fascinating to see how Basem gets on in the 4.15 for Saeed Bin Suroor and Silvestre De Sousa. He was the winner of the Wood Ditton at Newmarket on debut; but he is still entered in the Derby in a fortnight's time and if he has any aspirations about taking up that engagement, he will have to win this, and win it handsomely.
Of the rest of the card, I thought Make On Madam would probably break her maiden in the 2.30 and Maybeme could be each way value in the opener at 2.00.

Cartmel:
Yum Yum, Sticky Toffee Pudding, can only mean Cartmel!!!

Cartmel is back!! If you haven't been to this little gem of a track in the Lake District, I would highly recommend it. The novice chase on the card at 7.55 is a corker, with Ann Hamilton's stable star Runswick Royal trying to win over fences at the second attempt after going down by a nose to Master Of The Game at Kelso last month. Sultana Belle and Swaledale Lad, both previous chasing winners are in the line up together with former decent Flat horse Captain Brown and Tim Vaughan's Elsafeer. Guanciale looks interesting racing on decent ground in the 6.50 race, and if you are looking for a back and lay back horse, then look no further than Gold Chain in the 6.20, who traded very short on his first hurdles start in particular.

Catterick:

There are a couple of Scoop6 races from Catterick, with the first of them coming up at 2.50, which is Leg 2. I like a couple in here that are at double figure prices at the time of writing, in the shape of Showboating and Joe Eile. Showboating is a horse I've followed for some time and he certainly doesn't owe me anything, with a few wins and plenty of placed efforts to his name lately. This style of race suits his hold up tactics well and with the likes of Dr Red Eye, Evanescent and Henry The Aviator all likely to go forward and I can't see him being out the first three or four. Joe Eile is a well handicapped Irish recruit for John Quinn and shaped with some promise on two of his last three starts, and I'm willing to forgive his last run as nothing much came from off the pace and he didn't seem to like Ripon that much either.
The 3.25 is the other race that forms part of the Scoop6, and it looks as though Day Of The Eagle is primed to strike for Mick Easterby. He is a well handicapped horse who ran much better last time and there isn't much in this race to worry me.
Finally, in the 5.45, I really want to take on Sitting Pritty with Bondi Beach Babe, a filly who has been catching my eye and this looks her easiest opportunity to date, as long as she breaks on terms.

TCurragh:
Kingman looks very hard to beat in Ireland
In the Irish 2000 Guineas, Kingman looks like a good thing on the strength of his form in the English equivalent just three weeks ago, although Shifting Power's connections may feel that they can make up two lengths on him this time, and the price differential between the two is too vast. I thought Big Time was the one of the Irish contingent that could run well, as he isn't a million miles away from War Command on a line through Sudirman and his trainer was adamant that he'd be a high class three year old, so at around 20/1, he could run well.

Ffos Las:

It looks a pretty average card to be honest at Ffos Las. I'd chance a small stakes Lucky 15 on Anteros in the 6.35, Sir Mattie in the 7.40 who has Paul Moloney back aboard tomorrow, Princesse Fleur in the 8.15 and Irish raider Countdown in the bumper at 8.45.

Goodwood:
Pether's Moon winning at Goodwood last season, and must go well at 2.20
Leg 3 of the Scoop6 comes up on the Sussex Downs at 2.55, and it is a very open three year old handicap over seven furlongs. Penny Drops had been quite frustrating until her demolition job at Lingfield recently, and maybe her name is what is actually happening to her now she knows how to win. Willy Brennan could be her main danger.
Earlier on in the card, I thought Pether's Moon would be hard to beat now that he has a 3lb weight pull with Gatewood from last time out, together with good track form. Mirsaale could go well against him for James Tate. In the opener, I thought Quick Wit, who seemed to really enjoy racing in Britain last summer could go well at a decent price in the hands of Ahmed Ajtebi. However, the best bet on the Downs looks to be Mon Brav in the 4.40, who won this corresponding race last year for trainer Brian Ellison and comes back on a 2lb lower mark and seemingly running into form after a respectable run in fourth last time.

Haydock:

The opening race at Haydock is a wide open stayers handicap over two miles, and I thought Huff And Puff could be a bit of value for trainer Venetia Williams, better known for her jumpers. This horse did win over hurdles recently and hopefully there won't be too much rain, as that would harm his chance.
2.05 brings about the first leg of the Scoop6, and hopefully Run With Pride can win here to keep plenty of dreams alive, at least until the second leg! I was in the paddock when he made his winning debut at Doncaster and trainer Derek Shaw said afterwards that he "could be the best I've ever had", and duly entered him for the July Cup at Newmarket. He is seriously well thought of and I like him a lot.
I don't have much of a view in the Temple Stakes but the old boy Kingsgate Native must play a part if previous years are anything to go by.
Then we have Leg 4 of the Scoop6 at 3.10, and I found this Listed fillies sprint a tough puzzle to solve. March ran well and was a shade unlucky in a race that's working out well at Bath last time, but she wouldn't want any rain. Perfect Blessings is one that could go well, as she is completely unexposed and Clive Cox has had his horses in really good nick of late.
You have to wonder how many people will still be in the Scoop6 come the final leg at 3.45, if any, but I'm sure Musselburgh scorer Bilimbi will prove very popular for Ryan Moore. If one was going to go well at a big price, it may well just be Hot Coffee for Tom Dascombe and Richard Kingscote. She was very very impressive on debut here last July and ran okay in a Group 3 at Deauville after that. She ran pretty well at Chester on her reappearance after racing keenly on soft ground and I feel 20/1 is far too big.

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Be lucky,
Will